Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.290147 0.338011 0.390987 0.453926 0.526626 0.607928 0.705715
2025-03-23 0.222824 0.290283 0.373222 0.482483 0.622437 0.795500 1.025583
2025-03-30 0.171494 0.242279 0.336170 0.469395 0.653128 0.897132 1.245326
2025-04-06 0.136766 0.206560 0.305095 0.453666 0.671267 0.977461 1.440116
2025-04-13 0.111991 0.179307 0.279650 0.439150 0.685240 1.049234 1.626931
2025-04-20 0.097501 0.164434 0.269142 0.443551 0.725300 1.160733 1.882283
2025-04-27 0.089854 0.158816 0.271491 0.467224 0.796710 1.326271 2.238191
2025-05-04 0.081676 0.150846 0.268545 0.481177 0.853080 1.472940 2.579020
2025-05-11 0.073314 0.141158 0.261126 0.486024 0.893814 1.597088 2.894572
2025-05-18 0.065187 0.130598 0.250578 0.483551 0.920673 1.699276 3.181705
2025-05-25 0.057726 0.120147 0.238731 0.476868 0.938491 1.786407 3.449859
2025-06-01 0.051720 0.111642 0.229352 0.473423 0.961433 1.884317 3.746857
2025-06-08 0.044732 0.100273 0.213222 0.455296 0.955013 1.928783 3.952019
2025-06-15 0.043319 0.100497 0.220483 0.485458 1.048454 2.175578 4.579574
2025-06-22 0.038144 0.091708 0.207835 0.472373 1.051464 2.243604 4.855845
2025-06-29 0.033444 0.083263 0.194761 0.456552 1.046491 2.294275 5.100879
2025-07-06 0.029452 0.075855 0.182968 0.441946 1.042156 2.345281 5.351224
2025-07-13 0.027235 0.072405 0.179722 0.446374 1.080705 2.491717 5.823489
2025-07-20 0.026436 0.072381 0.184494 0.470193 1.166409 2.750105 6.571000
2025-07-27 0.025096 0.070759 0.185192 0.484233 1.230622 2.966543 7.245006
2025-08-03 0.023372 0.067860 0.182346 0.489108 1.273211 3.137434 7.830275
2025-08-10 0.021452 0.064129 0.176888 0.486621 1.297186 3.266719 8.329221
2025-08-17 0.019531 0.060103 0.170136 0.479897 1.309624 3.369461 8.774082